Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.052234 5.679370 6.363976 7.168412 8.089800 9.114519 10.343707
2025-01-05 4.117982 4.943514 5.914069 7.145514 8.675050 10.523553 12.943593
2025-01-12 3.508695 4.421891 5.556547 7.082452 9.099740 11.701606 15.354082
2025-01-19 2.941962 3.848435 5.023809 6.677947 8.975324 12.096943 16.734801
2025-01-26 2.661332 3.598370 4.860470 6.710878 9.398866 13.230684 19.232922
2025-02-02 2.496398 3.478243 4.847380 6.931828 10.088852 14.796657 22.551349
2025-02-09 2.332000 3.336619 4.781350 7.056417 10.634567 16.194151 25.786684
2025-02-16 2.182331 3.198412 4.701104 7.141723 11.116155 17.532173 29.096077
2025-02-23 2.050381 3.072205 4.622960 7.215081 11.576076 18.875012 32.589256
2025-03-02 1.873290 2.859931 4.390550 7.012684 11.549718 19.384886 34.652772
2025-03-09 1.742859 2.709451 4.241267 6.929147 11.709818 20.225264 37.432164
2025-03-16 1.626510 2.571768 4.100003 6.842913 11.850539 21.037660 40.261720
2025-03-23 1.584559 2.555301 4.161762 7.122602 12.697402 23.290790 46.406351
2025-03-30 1.495384 2.452552 4.068602 7.116205 13.010343 24.560546 50.715224
2025-04-06 1.406200 2.342658 3.953462 7.056953 13.212359 25.630724 54.762612
2025-04-13 1.272946 2.146243 3.670036 6.654804 12.691493 25.149744 55.197222
2025-04-20 1.215706 2.080457 3.616414 6.687762 13.053712 26.573002 60.349914
2025-04-27 1.188800 2.067047 3.657014 6.907884 13.827335 28.988175 68.364698
2025-05-04 1.150796 2.030283 3.650565 7.031994 14.408593 31.048376 75.871437
2025-05-11 1.110519 1.986274 3.626555 7.116967 14.912215 32.994790 83.455312
2025-05-18 1.071592 1.942027 3.598443 7.190038 15.396163 34.958506 91.479342
2025-05-25 1.004798 1.839747 3.448471 6.988435 15.223103 35.282358 94.868173
2025-06-01 0.955730 1.768970 3.356587 6.905224 15.319666 36.297188 100.502782